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Category: Winter 2017

Economic Commentary: Winter 2017

Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
January 12, 2017 Category: Economic Commentary, Winter 2017, Newsletter, Lineweaver

In many ways, 2016 has proven to be predictably unpredictable as highly covered events and predictions have not met up with outcomes (a few examples:  Growth concerns in China, Fed uncertainty, Global slowdown fears, and Brexit).  Q4 proved to be no different with the surprise election outcome of President-elect  Donald Trump, and  continued shifts in the political landscape abroad.  Optimism about  the incoming administration’s plans for fiscal stimulus through reduced taxes and increased infrastructure spending, along with a move toward deregulation in the financial industry, seemed to drive sentiment for Q4.  This positive sentiment was the primary driver of outperformance in the financial and industrial sectors, the expectation of nationalistic trade policies weighed on EM Equities, while positive sentiment surrounding U.S. equities drove investors out of Treasury and into U.S. equities, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note to 2.37%. Some key highlights over the quarter:   · According to the second estimate of economic growth released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), third quarter GDP increased at an annual quarter-over-quarter rate of 3.2%.   · As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee announced in December  that they raised the federal funds rate by 0.25%.  It’s the first increase this year and just the second since June 2006.   · The post-election rall

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