We have received questions recently regarding the U.S. Dollar and countries like Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) potentially developing alternative currencies and financial institutions. While we agree that the U.S. fiscal and monetary situation has deteriorated over recent years, and it is likely that China and Russia in particular are pushing to find alternatives to the U.S. Dollar and financial institutions, we do not view this as an imminent threat to the global economy or your investment portfolio.
The U.S. Dollar dominates global trade flows and we do not expect this to change in the near term. It’s estimated that the total value of global trade in 2022 was $32 trillion. The U.S. Dollar was 88% of those trades1. That is only down from 90% in 19881. Further, a reserve currency like the U.S. Dollar must be deep enough to support such large demand, be overseen by a country that can support large current account deficits, has a clear rule of law, does not impose capital controls, and supports property rights. To us, none of the BRICs demonstrate this resiliency. As such, we believe the U.S. Dollar remains the world’s reserve currency for the foreseeable future.
We think maintaining a diversified portfolio of U.S. and International stocks and bonds is the best defense against any potential actions by these countries, which is how we have invested your portfolios. Clearly many countries throughout history have held the world’s reserve currency and lost it, but for now we think this issue is more in the “noise” category than anything. We suggest focusing more on strong financial plans and the resiliency of the U.S. economy and corporate earnings.
Additional Reading and Resources:
1-Marc Chandler, The Dollar Rules the Financial Universe. China Can’t Change That, Barron’s, March 31, 2023.
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
July 07, 2025
Category: Tax, Social Security, Tax Planning, Financial Planning
By Mark Sipos, LFG Tax Director If you’ve worked in a public service job, chances are you’ve heard of the Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) or Government Pension Offset (GPO). WEP reduced Social Security benefits for individuals with pensions from jobs that didn’t pay into Social Security, and GPO reduced Social Security spousal and survivor benefits for individuals who also received a pension from a job that wasn’t covered by Social Security. But at the beginning of the year, as one of their last acts in office, the Biden Administration passed the Social Security Fairness Act (SSFA), meaning many retirees may see higher monthly payments and possibly retroactive benefits. Let’s break down what SSFA entails, how the repeals affect you, and what you need to know about the taxation of your Social Security benefits moving forward. What Changed in 2025? On January 5, 2025, the Social Security Fairness Act officially repealed WEP and GPO. This change applies to Social Security benefits payable for any months after December 2023. That means if you were previously impacted by WEP, your benefit could increase, possibly significantly. The repeal also opens the door for retroactive payments dating back to January 1, 2024. In total, more than 3.2 million Americans are expected to benefit from the elimination of WEP and GPO, according to the Social Security Administration. How WEP, GPO Repeal Impacts Public Employees and Retirees The repeal
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
July 07, 2025
Category: Market Commentary, Bonds, Financial Strategy, Financial Planning
By Chad Roope, CFA ®, Chief Investment Officer U.S. municipal bonds (munis) are prized for their tax advantages, but their historic tendency to provide a stable source of return also makes them valuable amid market volatility and uncertainty. Munis are generally less vulnerable to inflation shocks or the crossfire of global trade policies because they are often linked to public authorities that provide fee-based essential services, such as waste collection and public transportation, or secured by taxes on sales, property, and income. Munis have also shown historically low default rates and high credit ratings (Aa3 versus Ba1 for global corporate debt, on average) thanks to the disciplined finances and stable revenues of most state and local governments. Tax equivalent yields of munis have reset to levels not seen in over a decade, with some investment grade yields north of 6%. Against this backdrop, we see an opportunity to increase allocations, particularly as the outlook for limited supply relative to demand in July and August could bolster performance. Additionally, munis offer a possible antidote to tariffs and recession concerns. Amid Wall Street’s growing concern over a potential tariff-induced recession, investors are seeking refuge in areas least affected by global supply chains. This is fueling interest in state and local government bonds for the following reasons: Limited exposure to trade risks: A broad-based economic slowdown would reduce state r
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
June 26, 2025
Category: Legacy Planning, Estate Planning, Financial Plan
Over the next two decades, Baby Boomers are expected to pass down more than $84 trillion, making it the largest wealth transfer in U.S. history. For many families, this inheritance represents a life-changing opportunity, but it also comes with important financial challenges. Navigating an Inheritance: What to Do First Before making any decisions, take time to process your loss. Once you’re ready, gather all key legal and financial documents such as wills, trusts, account statements, and property titles. Not all assets are taxed or distributed the same, so understanding what you’ve inherited is essential. For example, an inherited IRA from a non-spouse falls under the SECURE Act and must be emptied within 10 years of the original owner’s death. If a trust is named a beneficiary, the tax bill can hit faster, so it’s important to establish that quickly. A taxable brokerage account is simpler because you get a step-up in basis to the date-of-death value, meaning little or no capital-gains tax if you sell soon. Non-qualified annuities are trickier. Earnings come out first and are taxed as ordinary income, and most contracts force you to cash out within five years or start lifetime payouts. Common Inheritance Mistakes to Avoid Without careful estate planning, it’s easy to make costly mistakes. One example is naming a trust as a contingent IRA beneficiary without understanding the tax implications. Another is leaving an IRA to one person and expe
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